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  • Notes on Bayesian Graduation
    insurance premiums requires estimates of a set of mortality, interest, and expense parameters. In fixing ... science in the estimation of mortality parameters. Observed mortality probabilities often exhibit irregularities ...

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    • Authors: James C Hickman, Donald A Jones, Thomas G Kabele, Stuart Klugman, Steven F McKay, Robert B Miller, Harwood Rosser
    • Date: Oct 1977
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Bayesian Bivariate Graduation and Forecasting
    our results in terms of the estimation of human mortality rates, but the results carry over to other applications ... methods;Cancer;Estimation methods;Life insurance;Mortality rates=Mortality tables=Death rates ;Statistical methods; ...

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    • Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller
    • Date: Mar 1979
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Credibility Formulas of the Updating Type
    OF THE UPDATING TYPE* DONALD A. JONES AND HANS U. GERBER ABSTRACT A credibility formula is said ... Brownian motion in physics. I. INTRODUCTION L S I, S '2, S s, . . . be a sequence of random variables, for ...

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    • Authors: Hans U Gerber, James C Hickman, Donald A Jones, PAUL ROBERT MILLER, Myron Henry Margolin
    • Date: Oct 1975
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Conjugate Bayesian Analysis of the Negative Binomial Distribution
    Conjugate Bayesian ... ai's are the solution of no ~o ~o • " (7÷s-1) =' ~ ai x s=l i=l i~r=l This implies that and ... ('y8 o+m o- 1 +r). nc ~o (1 ÷SSo-~o-mo-i)/6~ s=l i ;er=l ~b o a i=0. i=1 (r -i); i=1,2 ...

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    • Authors: James C Hickman
    • Date: Jan 1993
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods